Originally Posted by
Gary Liming
Hi Brian,
Not to be argumentative, but I wanted to say a couple of things in regard to your statement:
"One thing that is 100% assured- all the parts in those saws will fail regardless of how they're treated."
This is true in the same sense as "the sun will blow up in a billion years, so everything will eventually fail." It may be true, but it's not particularly helpful.
What is the failure rate of, say, a bolt that is used within specification of the machine's design envelope? (Forget about alloys, grades, etc. for now to simplify) The failure rate odds are in the one to 10,000,000 range, and that's being very conservative - in other words not in your lifetime, or your grandchildren's lifetime. (How much extra are you willing to spend on a saw that lasts past your grandchildren?) This argument then extends to all of the parts of the saw. Lets say we design for 3 generations, a hundred years. We do have to state what is typical usage, extraordinary usage, and what is not allowed. Perhaps cutting through a few nails in its lifetime is allowed, cutting aluminum with it perhaps, but surviving a direct lightning strike is not.
As someone who has an aviation system safety science background (this is the study of calculating reliability and failure modes of aviation related systems), I have a modest bit of insight into reliability of both mechanical systems and electronic ones, and the quote above, while very commonly spoken, just doesn't reflect what we now know to be true about reliability.
However, your point about parts becoming scarce due to obsolescence is a good one, but I wouldn't worry about the DB9 - it is used in so many Mil Spec devices that government contracts (which are very hard to kill) will require those things to made way past a better connector becomes widespread! I would worry more about the availability of some of the more esoteric electronic components. Unfortunately, the only guy who can speak to this is the design engineer who designed the SS circuits, and the rationale he used for selecting the parts. Hopefully, widespread availability of parts was an important goal for him. Most of the time it is certainly in the company's best interest to use widely available parts, as well as the consumer's.
I doubt that anyone had a System Hazard Analysis or a Failure Effects Mode Analysis done for the saw, but then again these aren't cheap and would probably raise the cost of the saw considerably, and the argument that most customers wouldn't really be interested in the result and therefore not be willing to pay for the additional development cost is a real issue. A measure of certainty about the reliability of a system is not cheap.
Adding any components to a system always lowers the reliability somewhat, so it stands to reason that two otherwise identical saws, one with the SS mechanism in place, and the other without, the more complicated one would have a higher failure rate. However, how much higher is proportional to whether or not the added complexity is prone to failure itself. All it has to be is out of the range of your grandchildren, which isn't too hard to do.
Like everything else, it just boils down to how experienced the engineer was who designed it, and whether he was given the time and resources to do a good job.