Sam I agree with you if the stain is dark; if it's a golden oak or lighter and it's a red oak floor, i think an 80 grit with the grain will be fine. YES a belt sander can really make a mess in rookie hands; I saw a nice white oak front door the other day that looked like a second grader sanded it.
I don't think a ROS in rookie hands would be too good either. A screen pad sander on a stick as you do with drywall would be an option.
Scott
Finishing is an 'Art & a Science'. Actually, it is a process. You must understand the properties and tendencies of the finish you are using. You must know the proper steps and techniques, then you must execute them properly.